margin industries

One Third of the Corn Crop Gone and Corn Growers Facing Breakeven Year

     It did not take very long did it? Remember our reference to commodity production being "margin" industries? Margin industries have a strong tendency to quickly revert to long-term returns over cost that reflect a fair return to the factors of production. This is because they relatively (at least) mirror competitive market outcomes.

Margin Industries--the Case of Corn

     Iowa State University for many years has produced enterprise budgets for the major crop and livestock produced in Iowa.  Enterprise budgets give the detailed expected costs for producing a single unit (in the case of corn, an acre) of the crop.

     The 2007 Corn budgets produced in January of this year can be found at http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/crops/pdf/a1-20.pdf.

     If you take a look at the expected costs of corn production, they range from $463.94 per acre for Low-till Corn following Soybeans to $510.60 per acre for conventional tillage corn following corn (continuous corn).  The breakeven prices are $2.90 to $3.20/acre respectively.  Given that some are reporting that the variable costs of corn production are up 55% for 2008 and with corn acres now selling for $6,000 to $8,000/acre based on corn price expectations, it is easy to see how the margins for corn acres are rapidly returning to their pre-ethanol and demand enhanced levels.

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